Conventional wisdom says that a Ron Paul Independent-Libertarian Party campaign in the 2008 general election would hurt the GOP and allow Hillary to win the White House.
I think that’s far too simplistic.
As someone who is right with the Congressman on domestic issues, downsizing of government, and most of his trade policies; and as someone who will argue the difference between isolationism and non-interventionism, he does lose me on the national defense issues.
With that said, I would suggest that the best way to keep Hillary out of the White House is for the eventual GOP nominee (whether it be Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, or Mike Huckabee) to actively and aggressively promote Ron Paul as the “true anti-war candidate.”
The leftist anti-war crowd clearly does not trust Hillary to get the U.S. out of Iraq. It is likely that in addition to naturally uniting of the Libertarian and Buchananite wings of the GOP, Ron Paul will also naturally attract the Kucinich/Gravel wing of the Democratic Party.
However, an active promotion of Ron Paul as the “true anti-war candidate” may push the more quote “moderate” Democrats that are pro-Hillary but plug their noses for her Iraq waffling.
Driving these anti-war “moderate” Democrats away from Hillary and towards Ron Paul might just be the strategy for the GOP to adopt to keep Hillary out of the While House.
At least in theory.